Market Analysis
& Revenue Projection
710 Baronne St · New Orleans CBD / Warehouse District

A 31-key apartment-hotel in one of the strongest event-demand submarkets in the country.

Confirmed unit mix, a New Orleans CBD demand read grounded in the market's event calendar and public performance data, and a stabilized revenue range of roughly $1.3M to $2.3M in annual lodging revenue, before ground-floor commercial rent.

31 keys · 22 three-bedroom + 9 two-bedroom 84 bedrooms · ~46,300 residential SqFt Walk Score 98
Prepared for HOLT Asset 710 Baronne St (w/ 828 Girod St), New Orleans, LA 70113 By Pacer Revenue Management

The read

The building is a rare product: a full-floor-plate, hotel-grade rental asset two blocks off the St. Charles parade route.

710 Baronne is a six-story, 31-key apartment-hotel spanning floors two through six, with a ground-floor lobby and a separately leasable commercial space. Every unit is a full apartment with a kitchen, in-unit laundry, king beds, and hotel-grade soft goods. The mix is heavy on three-bedroom suites, which is the right shape for New Orleans: this is a group-travel, event-driven market, and larger keys capture the compression that drives the calendar here.

The location is a genuine asset, not a talking point. Walk Score 98, directly across from a Rouses Market and CVS, five minutes from Lafayette Square and the St. Charles parade route, and 0.8 miles from the Morial Convention Center. That combination of grocery-anchored convenience and walkable demand is what lets a professional operator hold rate through the shoulders and command a premium on peak nights.

What changed since the first draft. The unit mix is now confirmed from the architect's floor plans and the operator's own listing pages: 22 three-bedroom and 9 two-bedroom keys, 31 in total. The widely referenced "5BR" is not a separate key. It is a three-bedroom joined to an adjacent two-bedroom through a connecting door, built on demand for groups. That distinction changes how the building should be priced and merchandised, and it is the backbone of this projection.
31
Rentable keys (floors 2–6)
71%
Of keys are 3-bedroom suites
~9
On-demand 5BR group configs
$1.3–2.3M
Projected annual lodging revenue

The asset

Confirmed unit mix

Bedroom and key counts are firm on floors three through six, which repeat an identical stack. Floor two carries one extra three-bedroom and is the only floor still to be field-confirmed on a site walk.

Unit typeKeysBedroomsSleepsApprox SqFt% of keys
2BR Suite9241,200–1,37029%
3BR Suite22361,460–1,64071%
Total3184~46,300100%
Plus a group product. The same 31 keys can be merchandised as up to nine 5BR connecting suites (a 3BR paired with the adjacent 2BR, sleeping ten). This is not additional inventory, and it sells at a slight discount to the two units apart, so it is a demand-capture lever, not a rate premium: it wins groups of ten who need one contiguous space and fills shoulder nights the individual keys would leave empty. It stays out of the base projection and, sized separately below, adds an estimated $20K to $50K a year.
Asset typeServiced apartment-hotel (STR)
Building6 stories, floors 2–6 residential
AccessKeyless / mobile entry, 2 elevators
In-unitFull kitchen, W/D, king beds
OutdoorBalconies 100–199 SF on corners; terraces to 500+ SF
Ground floorRestaurant-ready commercial lease (separate income)
To confirm on site. Floor-two unit mix and the 3BR bath split (2 vs 3 baths on select corners). Neither materially moves the revenue projection, but both should be verified before an offer is finalized.

How the inventory sells

One building, three products.

The physical key count is fixed at 31. What varies is how those keys are packaged, and that is where a revenue manager earns their keep in a market like this.

ConfigurationMax availSleepsRole in the mix
2BR Suite94Base occupancy driver; fills shoulders and weeknights
3BR Suite226Core inventory; the volume of the building
5BR Connecting Suite~910On-demand group product; fills soft nights and wins large groups

A 5BR is created by pairing a three-bedroom with the adjacent two-bedroom through the connecting door. Each pairing consumes one 3BR and one 2BR key, so the building can stand up to roughly nine simultaneous 5BR suites, limited by the nine two-bedroom units. A 5BR typically trades at a slight discount to the two units booked apart, so its value is not a higher rate. It is demand capture: winning groups of ten who need one contiguous space, and filling shoulder and off-peak nights when the individual keys would not both sell.

Mind the cannibalization. The combo sells for slightly less than the two units apart, so on peak nights, when both keys sell anyway, you sell them separately at full rate. The 5BR earns its place on softer nights, capturing firm group bookings, often multi-night, that fill inventory the individual keys would leave empty. We only count the nights it actually converts, net of what those keys would have earned on their own.
5BR economics (illustrative, shoulder / off-peak night)Value
3BR + 2BR booked separately, if both fill~$530
5BR group rate (slight discount to book as one)~$500
Off-peak likelihood both keys fill on their own~40%
Expected standalone revenue at that occupancy~$210
Net captured by a firm group booking~$290 / night
Net annual contribution: roughly $20K to $50K, occupancy-driven. The 5BR does not lift rate, it lifts fill. Groups book a discounted contiguous suite on shoulder and off-peak nights that the individual keys would leave empty, often for multi-night stays. On peak nights the keys are sold separately at full rate. This sits on top of the base projection, and Pacer sizes it precisely against booking pace during onboarding.

The market

New Orleans is an event calendar, not an average.

Underwriting this building on a flat annual occupancy would miss how it actually earns. Demand here is spiky and repeatable: a handful of compression windows carry a disproportionate share of the year, and the shoulders and deep-summer trough have to be priced deliberately. The curve below is the CBD / Warehouse District demand shape, driven by the New Orleans event calendar.

New Orleans CBD demand intensity by month
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Peaks: Mardi Gras (Feb 17, 2026), Sugar Bowl / CFP and Carnival open (Jan), French Quarter Fest and Jazz Fest (Apr), conventions and festivals (Oct). Shoulders in spring and fall, deep-summer trough in August, and a July spike on Essence Festival. Demand shape reflects the New Orleans CBD event calendar.

City-wide, New Orleans short-term rentals average roughly a $304 ADR and 40 to 47% occupancy, with two-bedroom listings near 41% occupancy and three-bedroom around 35%, and top-quartile operators clearing a $343-plus ADR. Those figures blend every neighborhood and casual host in the city. A professionally managed, hotel-grade building in a Walk Score 98 CBD location should sit at the upper end of those bands, not the middle, and that is the basis for the base case below.

Why professional pricing matters here. The distance between the February peak and the August trough is enormous, and most of the annual revenue is concentrated in a handful of event windows. Capturing it takes day-by-day rate and length-of-stay management, not a static price. That spread is precisely the revenue a static calendar leaves on the table, and where an active revenue manager pays for itself.

The projection

Stabilized annual lodging revenue: three scenarios.

Each scenario is built the same way, ADR times occupancy times 365, applied to the confirmed 9 two-bedroom and 22 three-bedroom keys. Conservative reflects roughly what the current independent operator likely achieves at market-baseline execution. Base is a stabilized year under professional revenue management. Upside layers in sharper event pricing, a stronger direct-booking mix, and stronger group and shoulder-night capture including the 5BR product.

Conservative
$1.32M
Blended RevPAR ~$117
  • 2BR · $250 · 42%$345K
  • 3BR · $320 · 38%$976K
Base · Pacer managed
$1.79M
Blended RevPAR ~$158
  • 2BR · $285 · 50%$468K
  • 3BR · $365 · 45%$1.32M
Upside
$2.28M
Blended RevPAR ~$202
  • 2BR · $315 · 57%$590K
  • 3BR · $405 · 52%$1.69M
Unit typeKeysBase ADRBase OccRevPARRevenue / keyAnnual revenue
2BR Suite9$28550%$143$52,000$468,100
3BR Suite22$36545%$164$59,950$1,318,900
Portfolio (base)31$34346%$158$57,650$1,787,000
These are estimates, not a promise. The base case assumes a full stabilized year. Where 710 actually lands depends on the current operator's booking history, the exact channel mix, and the 2026–27 event calendar, none of which we have seen yet. A bedroom-specific AirDNA pull on the CBD / Warehouse District comp set would tighten these bands, and Pacer can run that as the next step.

Upside and other income

Two revenue levers the base case leaves on the table.

5BR group product. Detailed under "How the inventory sells" above, this is a roughly $20K to $50K annual add, and it is occupancy-driven rather than a rate premium. The combo sells at a slight discount to the two units apart, so its value is capturing group demand and filling shoulder nights the individual keys would leave empty. On peak nights the keys are sold separately at full rate. Sizing it precisely needs the event calendar and booking pace, which Pacer builds in onboarding.

Ground-floor commercial rent. The restaurant-ready commercial space on floor one is a separate income line that sits entirely outside this lodging projection. It should be underwritten on its own as contracted NOI, and it adds to, rather than competes with, the residential revenue above.

Not included above, by design. This analysis is top-line lodging revenue only. It excludes commercial rent, operating expenses, and any management fee, so the owner can layer their own cost structure onto a clean revenue line.
Methodology, sources, and assumptions

Unit mix. Confirmed from Terrell-Fabacher architect floor plans (828 Girod / 710 Baronne renovation, 2019–20) and the operator's public listing pages. Firm on floors 3–6; floor 2 mix and select 3BR bath counts flagged for site confirmation.

Market data. ADR, occupancy, RevPAR, and revenue benchmarks are triangulated from public 2025–26 short-term rental market datasets for New Orleans (AirDNA and comparable market data providers), city-wide and by bedroom count. These are third-party estimates and blend all neighborhoods, so they typically run a few points off internal PMS data and are not CBD-specific. Neighborhood-level CBD / Warehouse District figures would be firmed with a bedroom-specific AirDNA Property Manager pull as the next step.

Projection. Annual revenue is ADR times occupancy times 365 per key, summed across 9 two-bedroom and 22 three-bedroom keys (3,285 and 8,030 available room-nights respectively). ADR and occupancy assumptions per scenario:

  • Conservative: 2BR $250 / 42%, 3BR $320 / 38%
  • Base: 2BR $285 / 50%, 3BR $365 / 45%
  • Upside: 2BR $315 / 57%, 3BR $405 / 52%

5BR group product. Treated as demand capture, not a rate premium. The combo sells at a slight discount to the two units booked apart, so its value is incremental occupancy on shoulder and off-peak nights (firm group bookings that fill otherwise-soft inventory). Estimated at roughly $20K to $50K a year, sized against booking pace during onboarding. Not included in the base projection.

What would tighten this. A bedroom-specific AirDNA Property Manager pull on the CBD / Warehouse District comp set, the current operator's trailing booking and channel history, and the confirmed 2026–27 event calendar. Pacer runs all three during onboarding.

Excluded. Ground-floor commercial rent, operating expenses, and management fee. Top-line lodging revenue only.

What Pacer would do next

Turning this from an estimate into an underwriting-grade number.
1
Pull the CBD comp set. A bedroom-specific AirDNA Property Manager analysis on the Warehouse District, isolating 2BR and 3BR performance, to firm the ADR and occupancy bands.
2
Read the current book. The independent operator's trailing booking history and channel mix, to establish the true starting point and the gap professional management would close.
3
Build the event-calibrated calendar. Map the 2026–27 compression windows and model the 5BR group product against real booking pace.
4
Deliver a stabilized pro forma. A month-by-month revenue build by unit type, plus the 5BR upside and commercial line, that HOLT can drop straight into an acquisition model.

Ready to firm up the number on 710 Baronne.

This analysis gives HOLT a defensible revenue range today. The four steps above turn it into an underwriting-grade pro forma. Whenever the timing is right, Pacer can have the tightened model back quickly.

Pacer Revenue Management · pacerrev.com